Why are the people thus busily moving?
For food they are seeking, children they fain would beget,
feeding them all as they can.
Traveler, mark this well, and when thou art home, do thou likewise!
More can no mortal effect, work with what ardor he will.
Johann W. Goethe (1790)
With the decline of Europe during the Great War, the multiethnic
中国人口众多是一件极大的好事。再增加多少倍人口也完全有办法,这办法就是生产.
The massive population of
Thomas Malthus, English philosopher, made his famous prediction in An essay on the principle of population (1798) that population growth would at some point in time outrun food supply, and hence that the world population must have a maximum limit – anything between 9-12 billions. Naturally, until that overall, final limit is reached, some nations would try, almost fanatically in case of Mao’s China until the early 80’s, or not try at all, in case of post-war Germany after the 50’s who officially discouraged children, to outperform each other, for instance by means of forbidding contraception, ruling out gay communions, encouraging matchmaking, rewarding ‘patriotic’ baby-making, or discouraging women from joining the labor force (Heinsohn, 2003 [1]). Nippon increased from 60 to 127 millions, India from 550 to 1100 millions, China exploded in population from 600 to over 1,350 million, the citizens of the Soviet Union grew from 100 to 450 million (by assimilation), and finally the entire Arab/Moslem population almost tripled to now 1,400 million (with Indonesia from 75 to 220 million, Pakistan from 39 to 167 million etc.) (geohive, 2008; ciaFact, 2008).
As I write this paper, the populations of
In this case we can clearly see that if we wished in imagination to give the plant the power of increasing in number, we should have to give it some advantage over its competitors. (Charles Darwin, 1859 [2])
However, in the short run between 1950 and 2000, the doctrine of
If two great regions had been for a long period favorably circumstanced in an equal degree, the battle would be prolonged and severe; […]. But in the course of time, the forms dominant in the highest degree, wherever produced, would tend everywhere to prevail. As they prevailed, they would cause the extinction of other and inferior forms, […] (Charles Darwin, 1859 [3])
What
Soon, commentators picked up clichés such as ‘moral conquerors’, ‘spiritual invasion’ (Freytag, 1940/2004) ‘Counter-Colonialism’, ‘the Gradual Orientalization of the Western Culture’, a ‘Pacific Century’, meaning that the 21st century will be dominated by the Pacific Rim states surrounding the Pacific Ocean, including China, Japan and the United States (Gibney, 1992; PBS, 1993, Borthwick, 1998), ‘The Chinese Enlightenment to the West’, ‘Eastern take-over’ or ‘Clash of Civilizations’ (Huntington, 1993, 2000, 2004) – all these notions supported by popular academic data saying that conformist East Asians and individualistic Westerners - apart from having shaped two entirely different civilizations, one inductive-based, the other deduction-based, indeed seem to produce different general cognitive styles too; the members of the latter tend to reason more analytically, the members of the former tend to reason more holistically (Masuda and Nisbett, 2001).
The demographic changes in Europe are irreversible, and the former feelings of Western superiority – the analytical mind, the linear approach to time and history, the soul of the conqueror, the deductive ways – over the time will proportionally decrease in favor of a newly felt Eastern superiority – the intuitive mind, the holistic approach to time and entangled history, the soul of the sage, the inductive ways. As a matter of perception, till today, the Western ways are universally associated with ‘war’, ‘aggression”, and ‘exclusiveness’, while the Eastern ways are associated with ‘peace’, ‘tranquility’, and ‘inclusiveness’; notwithstanding both hemispheres showing the tendencies to project their own psychological outlook onto the other. For the vast majority of Americans and Europeans,
As a consequence of ‘psychological projection’, the West does not see clearly its own vices, and the East does not see clearly its own virtues.
Due to current demographic developments,
The new spiritual conquerors’, with their Eastern religions, Eastern values, Eastern world views, and their inductive ways demand for more power and influence in their host countries of choice and they are lobbied by approximately three billion other Indians, Chinese, Muslims, South-East Asians etc. While Europe and the USA are volunteering to ‘transform’ their indigenous cultures, China, India, Singapore, Hong Kong etc. are all happy to assimilate those few (relative in numbers) ‘Western runners’ (Westerners hardly ever call themselves immigrants, they prefer the exclusive, high-status term ‘expatriates’ or ‘expats’) who turn their back on their deconstructed, seemingly dying civilization, and search for refuge into the strong and massive Eastern hemisphere, but, alas, although finding themselves extraordinary and useful with their deductive, analytical ways and deconstructive skills, as lone individuals with an impact no less but also no greater than a water drop seeking depth into the vast sea of Eastern inclusive ‘harmoniousness’ and universal ‘oneness’.
In the short run, the few young indigenous Europeans who have not yet immigrated into the Anglo-Saxon world (Heinsohn, 2003; Breithaupt, 2000) or found some purpose in the East, will stay on their home turf and indeed benefit from their continent’s accumulated wealth, with ever fewer people sharing that wealth. In the long term, however, their parents, companies, and governments will have to make a painful but crucial financial decision:
There is nothing complicated about finance. It is based on old people lending to young people. […] Never before in human history, though, has a new generation simply failed to appear. (aTimes, 2008/05 [Spengler])
The aging European’s search for their “next generation”, may it be citizens for their cities, tenants for their houses, consumers, students, employees, spouses, or just new ideas, has already begun – they look to the East.
Whoever said that ‘victory makes you liberal while defeat makes you conservative’ must have deeply understood the meaning of life. The European people in the 21st century suffer from their childlessness, defenselessness, and dependency, and thus developed a pervasive fear of everything Asian. Does this new 21st century existential ‘angst’ resemble that old 20th century existential angst, so accurately portrayed in images of the ‘Yellow Terror’ such as: Wilhelm II.’s painting Völker Europas, wahrt eure heiligsten Güter (People of Europe, safeguard your most valuable goods) which depicts the European nations standing on a cliff guarding against a mighty Buddha and his thunderstorm (wikipedia, 2008); or such as the short stories written by Matthew Phipps Shiel, in 1898, who brutally frankly familiarized Westerners with the term The Yellow Peril? How about the fear for Islamic Extremists? Or about mass-immigration of Africans and Arabs? Is there anything in this 21st century that Europeans are not afraid of? Does this new 21st century existential ‘angst’ resembles the old pessimistic sorrows of an Oswald Spengler or an Arnold Toynbee, who successfully summarized ‘angst’ their The Decline of the West (1918) and Civilization on Trial and the World and the West (1958)? Which brings to mind Willhelm Marr’s controversial book Finis Germaniae about the decline of the Germanic people (to which also belong the Anglo-Saxons belong) (Marr, 1879; Heihnson, 2006; Fülberth, 2007). If ‘angst’ still reigns over Europe, it did not come as a surprise when the CDU/CSU Bundestagsfraktion of Germany published its ‘Asia-strategy-paper’ on the 23rd of October 2007, officially calling
In the latter half of the 20th century and in this century, the new spiritual strength of the integration-based Orient derived from the explosion in population translated into a new self-confidence and assertiveness and the re-affirmation of (superior) Asian values and pan-Asianism, the old notion that Asia indeed is the unifying ‘one’, while the West is the destructive other:
[…] that broad expanse of love for the Ultimate and Universal, which is the common thought-inheritance of every Asiatic race, enabling them to produce all the great religions of the world, and distinguishing them from those maritime peoples of the Mediterranean and the Baltic, who love to dwell on the Particular, and to search out the means, not the end, of life.
(Okakura Kakuzo, 1904)
[…] no description of Hinduism can be exhaustive which does not touch on almost every religious and philosophical idea that the world has ever know… (M. Monier Williams, 1894)
[…] It is all-tolerant, all-compliant, all-comprehensive, all-absorbing.
(S. Radhakrishnan, 1929)
[…] European culture has the ability to master energy and mechanics, but has only elementary knowledge regarding the human body and the concert of mind and brain. The Middle and the
The modern idea of ‘pan-Asianism’ and the slogan “Asia is one” were first discussed in Okakura Kakuzo’s groundbreaking book The Ideals of the East (1904), but became really popular again in the 90’s during the academic discourse on ‘Asian values’. ‘Asian values’ is a vague concept of certain religious and spiritual tendencies, traditions and virtues like filial piety, love for learning, collectivism, and inner-world dependency that are shared by most Asian (some say only Confucian) cultures, but not - or not equally - stressed in most Western societies (Lee, 1998), thus forming a self-affirming psychological counterpoise, and source of conflict, to the Western values of conflict, liberalism, individualism, and outer-world dependency.
Another major blow to Western over-confidence was the genetic challenge. According to The Wall Street Journal: “American-Asian minorities (3.5%) account for more than 20-30% in American top universities” (wsj, 1999/11, 2006/11), and since the 1920s it is known, and has been proven independently by J. P. Rushton and A. J. Jenson (2006), A. J. Herrnstein and C. Murray (1994), J. R. Flynn (1980, 1994), and I. J. Deary (2001) etc., that East-Asians on average do score sex to seven points higher than Anglo-Americans, and twenty points higher than Afro-Americans on most (Western-) standardized IQ-tests (Rushton et. al, 2006; Herrnstein et. al, 1994; Flynn, 1980, 1994; Deary, 2001; Steinberg, 1994). This is ready available science; no one is in the dark any longer. Indeed, the cognitive pre-eminence of East-Asians in several intellectual and artistic disciplines is as fascinating and terrifying to look at as, for instance, watching the dominance of Afro-American basketball players in the NBA (Flynn, 1994; Ledderose, 2005).
Combining the high test-results of Asians with student numbers and things are getting even more impressive: In 2005,
The cultural and economic penalty for not recognizing East-Asian talent is immense, and unsurprisingly in this century we have witnessed in particular the anglophone world recruiting Chinese students and immigrants in unprecedented numbers. In 2005, 65,000 Chinese and 75,000 Indians studied in the
Genetic differences among individual human beings account for up to 85 percent of the entire genetic spectrum, while the genetic differences in the world population are only about 15 percent. No matter which ethnic group you come from, we’re all pretty much the same. (Jin Li [金力], 2006)
To conclude, in discussing demography, ‘Cultural evolution’ can so much better explain than its abusive father, ‘biological evolution’ and its damaged mother, ‘social evolution’. Indeed, the huge transformation of Western key societies into fissiparous, multicultural hubs fits the equation of the East-West equilibrium as a global theory: Migration is in direct reciprocity, for the greater good, a strategy of mutual cooperation and – unconsciously, but we’d rather say voluntary – the natural response to any human demographic shortcomings on this planet. Without having to care about race, but this time only about culture, Western ranks are filled with an over-surplus of human capital from the East; as diverse as possible, please. It serves both sides, thus benefits the whole. The analytical-based, deductive West increases its diversity, tendency for devolution and multiculturalism and is thus profiting from Eastern ‘overproduction’ of human capital that is required to keep Western culture breathing, while the integration-based East increases its ethnic dominance and geopolitical reach, forcing ever greater levels of peace, tolerance and harmoniousness upon the West.